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  1. #1
    dwt
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    10 years ago

    If in 2003, you had predicted that in 2013:

    1) a new wheel size in between 29" and 26" ; and

    2) 1x11 drivetrains with front chainrings as small as 26T and rear cogs as big as 42T,

    would be a huge market changing fads, you would have risked hospitalisation for mental illness.

    But you would be rich if you had invested in them.

    20-20 hindsight for non visionaries
    Old enough to know better. And old enough not to care. Best age to be.

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    Well Kirk Pacenti certainly invested heavily in 650b, at least since 2007. He might have been thinking about it in 2003. Don't know how rich he got.
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    dwt
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    10 years ago

    Quote Originally Posted by bolandjd View Post
    Well Kirk Pacenti certainly invested heavily in 650b, at least since 2007. He might have been thinking about it in 2003. Don't know how rich he got.
    I wager even Kirk, who was/is a visionary, didn't expect 27.5/650b would blossom into such a huge fad.

    Whoever at SRAM dreamed up XX1 deserves a big raise. Always good to read the tea leaves and get a jump on Shimano
    Old enough to know better. And old enough not to care. Best age to be.

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    Actually, I don't think Kirk would call 650b a fad. Maybe he'll chime in here himself. In this article from 2007, he said "I truly believe 650B wheel bikes have a bright future in mountain biking." So, I don't know, maybe that was just bombast from a guy trying sell everyone on a radical new idea, but it does look pretty visionary now, doesn't it?

    As for 11 speed... Campagnolo scooped everyone on 11 speed back in 2008, but of course Campy only does roadie stuff. Still, I'm sure that jogged a few minds over at Shimano and Sram. Well, Sram anyway. Seems like Shimano is placing their bets on electric shifting while Sram and Campy are moving ahead with 11 speed. I agree with you that 1x11 is just brilliant. People have been ditching their front derailuers and going to single chainrings for years. But, yeah, it might be a stretch to say that anyone in the industry was thinking about, let alone openly advocating, 1x11 back in 2003.
    Surly Cross Check: fat tire roadie
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