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  1. #1
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    Winter Storm Watch/ 12" Snow ??

    From NOAA (although on another page they say that things might not be "that" bad, or just as likely, a chance they could be "much" worse !!. This is the "Middle of the Road" forecast)


    "...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
    WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
    WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIER SNOW
    WILL THEN SHIFT OUT EASTWARD OVER THE PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
    SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY
    EVENING. UP TO 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS.

    REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A
    HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
    SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR THAT COULD IMPACT TRAVEL.
    STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS
    MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNING CONCERNING THIS
    POTENTIAL WINTER STORM."

  2. #2
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    Dang...I may have to call in a "powder day" with that kind of snow expected.

  3. #3
    i took the wheels home
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    Didn't the forecast call for rain/snow all weekend? Yeah, that never happened and in the past few weeks too many opportunities to get out have been called off by the forecast calling for bad weather and then it turning out to be really really nice. Don't it scare you but do remember that this is spring time in the Rockies.

  4. #4
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    Twin tipped skis may have the advantage at Crankwerx this year.

  5. #5
    t.i.t.s.ceo/FR amoeba rep
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    Note to self: beacon, shovel, probe
    I'm a cowboy on a steel horse i ride!

    the blog

  6. #6
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    ugh i should have gone riding today. wasted opportunity

  7. #7
    skillz to pay billz
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    squeezed out a little Heil bet/ snow storms, yeah!

    edit: that didn't sound right

  8. #8
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    ... and if we just ... Yup,this afternoon was PERFECT !!



    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    ugh i should have gone riding today. wasted opportunity

  9. #9
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    The models are kind of over the place regarding the tracking of the L as it moves east across the state. You can see on IR and WV the bottom lobe of the vort max rounding out the base of the trough by Las Vegas. This will gradually close off today and start moving east. The winds seem to shift early on to the northwest, which creates downslope for the Front Range and less chance of upslope. The energy per the last few model runs also seem to be moving most of the energy south of the Denver metro area (i.e., Palmer divide will likely get hammered if the flow turns more North/Northeasterly). Overall, the upslope looks pretty weak and though it'll snow, not sure how much(?)

    Hoping to ride Buff Creek on Saturday, but that may be a pipe dream

  10. #10
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    How will this effect the riding this weekend out in Frutia?

  11. #11
    post-ride specialist
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rontele
    The models are kind of over the place ...

    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis
    Since when did Need have anything to do with this?

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by icegeek
    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis
    damn straight. you want to pay my mortgage?

  13. #13
    Rides Uphill Slow
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    I was thinking the same thing but I think the riding in Fruita should be fine. Crossing my fingers. Getting over the passes on Thursday night is going to be the interesting part.
    Sunny and in the 60's from Friday on according to NOAA.
    I'm here for the downhill

  14. #14
    Rolling
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    I knew the forecast was going to blow--at least on the east side of the foothills.. Too complex-- and to dare it, I rode in today since I think the afternoon forecast is going to miss too.
    Last edited by lidarman; 04-09-2008 at 11:00 AM.

  15. #15
    To "Air" Is Human
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    I guess it's back to indoors at Woodward...

  16. #16
    Inflexable...
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    Quote Originally Posted by icegeek
    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis

    Thursday? Loveland? Or have you consumed your quota for the week?...
    Tact is for people not witty enough to be sarcastic...

  17. #17
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    Damn, I'm driving to Moab tomorrow afternoon. I sure hope we make it through the mtns with bikes intact...I'm dying to ride Porc. Rim on Friday.

  18. #18
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    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?

  19. #19
    Rolling
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    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?
    I think you have a good chance.

    Looking outside looks great yet the forecast says there should be rain. The radar looks good too.

  20. #20
    tiny rider
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    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?
    My guess is that if you go to ride, you will get snowed on. If, however, you choose not to ride, the weather will hold off. I think it's called Heisenberg's Cat or something.

  21. #21
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    hahaha. I think Im going to take my chances, and bring a rain jacket. I guess I can make a decision later in the day, but from those graphs, it looks like I could ride for an hour or 2 and not get completely killed. Thanks for the info.

  22. #22
    Rolling
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    Quote Originally Posted by cartographer
    My guess is that if you go to ride, you will get snowed on. If, however, you choose not to ride, the weather will hold off. I think it's called Heisenberg's Cat or something.

    I think you combined all three there.

    Murphy's Law.
    Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
    Shroedingers Cat.

    It should snow since I rode in today.

  23. #23
    tiny rider
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    On further review, I suggest:
    Heisenberg's Cat's Law -- The weather will only be bad if you actually ride.

  24. #24
    tiny rider
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    Duplicate

  25. #25
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    Sorry, I heard that Porc is closed today through next Monday

    Quote Originally Posted by swimmer52
    Damn, I'm driving to Moab tomorrow afternoon. I sure hope we make it through the mtns with bikes intact...I'm dying to ride Porc. Rim on Friday.
    There's too many bikers on it and the rocks are sinking under the weight. Maybe next year.
    So it seems to me to be, this thing that I think I see.

  26. #26
    MK_
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    The forecast changes rapidly. After first reading this thread, I checked and the warning issued was calling for 14in, 2in more than the original post called for. Now (12:52) it is at 4 to 8in.

    We'll see what happens.

    _MK

  27. #27
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    i might have imagined it, but I think I may have heard some thunder a little bit ago here in Wash Park.

    Hoping to be at the GM trail by 330 or so. Hope the rain stays away til then.

    just checked the radar. doesnt look too promising.

  28. #28
    bacon! bacon! bacon!
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    Not your imagination. This could be a whopper if we get some thunder snow!

    Edit: It's gone all crazy-like!


  29. #29
    Rolling
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    Yep, Radar shows trace rain accumulation scattered near Waterton and SE denver. It's starting.

    Nice and sunny here in Boulder.

  30. #30
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    i shoulda gone this morning. crap

  31. #31
    Rolling
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    Go now.

  32. #32
    holding back the darkness
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    Heisenberg's Uncertain Cat Principle:
    Debating whether or not one should go ride will ultimately result in less ride time, thereby canceling any effect the weather might have actually had; whereas just going riding regardless will cancel the effect of the debate. You can never know the outcome of both the debate and the ride at the same time.

    However..If uncertain about the presence of cats I fully support your right to ride with firearms.
    **** censorship

  33. #33
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    Last year about this time the weather "people" predicted 18 inches for the next day. Actual result =0 inches. So much money wasted on a "weather" degree. Toss the coin, just as accurate.

  34. #34
    Which way? Uphill.
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    I'm at Waterton now, it rained a little while ago and has stopped now.

    Temp 48
    RH 58%
    Wind Speed 11 MPH
    No sun shining

    Of course I'm leaving in 5 minutes so that means it'll start up soon and I'll get rained on.
    Maybe if I put on the rain jacket I can reverse the effect and the rain will stay away.
    Blog

    Just keep spinning. Just keep running. Just keep paddling.
    Just keep moving forward.

  35. #35
    slow
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    Quote Originally Posted by subliminalshiver
    However..If uncertain about the presence of cats I fully support your right to ride with firearms.
    House cats, or wild ones?



    It is pouring rain and hailing in SE Ft.Collins right now (4:07pm) and I just heard thunder.

  36. #36
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    just started really raining hard here in Denver, and we're getting hail.

  37. #37
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    Torrential rain in downtown Colorado Springs right now - has been doing it for the past 40 minutes ...

    Don't forget Schroedinger's Uncertain Cat Theorem (aka SUCT): The degree of uncertainty (U'd) in the weather is directly related to the probability of multiple felines (fx) to behave consistently and will lead one to underestimate the chance of precipitation (uP), and either ride in exceedingly bad weather or not ride at all - either way it looks like: U'd(fx)uP... my wise friend Joe King said it best: "Just go ride and quit thinking about it... bring a jacket if it looks nasty."

    I think this system should add another couple of weeks to Monarch Crest being under snow!!!

    Ahhhh gotta love springtime in the rockies.
    S
    "You know how they make aluminum bike frames? They take steel and suck out all the soul..."

  38. #38
    Big Boned
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    I just wanted to share -- you guys are killing me. I'm missing the cream of this year's spring skiing, stuck here in Austin. Yeah, it was 90 and sunny and I rode for 3 hours yesterday. And so what if I'm sitting outside in shorts and a t-shirt at a coffee shop right now, overlooking the river, working. I'd gladly trade all that for two feet of fresh up at Butler. I'm dying, I tell you. DYING.

    Kind of.
    Never rub another man's rhubarb.

  39. #39
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    Winter Storm Warning dropped...Yeah

    But I just had one HELL of a drive home. My wipers couldn't clear the hail off my windshield fast enough and it was packing up so deep underneath, they quit working. The road disappeared in 2 mins. or less beneath 2-3" of hailstones. 1/2 of the roads were flooded over and there was a train signal gate knocked out/down. This is from Ft. Collins.

    Anyway, NOAA has dropped the Winter Snow Warning for the I-25 corridor. Brunt of the storm now expected to hit just east. We're under a snow/blowing snow advisory now.

    Foothills are still expecting a big dump as well, but back down from the 14" they expected this morning to 6-12" .

  40. #40
    skillz to pay billz
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    medium size flakes falling and just starting to stick in ned, 6pm wednesday


    update: 6:49pm, almost 1 inch on the deck already. dang think I'll work from home tomorrow
    Last edited by nOOby; 04-09-2008 at 06:50 PM.

  41. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manmountain Dense
    Yeah, it was 90 and sunny and I rode for 3 hours yesterday. And so what if I'm sitting outside in shorts and a t-shirt at a coffee shop right now, overlooking the river, working.
    I hate you.

  42. #42
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manmountain Dense
    I just wanted to share -- you guys are killing me. I'm missing the cream of this year's spring skiing, stuck here in Austin. Yeah, it was 90 and sunny and I rode for 3 hours yesterday. And so what if I'm sitting outside in shorts and a t-shirt at a coffee shop right now, overlooking the river, working. I'd gladly trade all that for two feet of fresh up at Butler. I'm dying, I tell you. DYING.

    Kind of.
    How is the humidity ? Being from Houston i sure don't mis that and you can keep the 90 + temps there. It is Summer in TX all ready that's for sure.

  43. #43
    skillz to pay billz
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    I guess its good for my well and pond




  44. #44
    slow
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    Quote Originally Posted by onbelaydave
    there was a train signal gate knocked out/down.
    Swallow and Mason?

  45. #45
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    Nope: Drake just W of Timberline

    nm..

    Quote Originally Posted by sgltrak
    Swallow and Mason?
    Last edited by onbelaydave; 04-09-2008 at 08:27 PM. Reason: typo

  46. #46
    Rolling
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    Fire all the NOAA beotches...I haven't seen a single millimeter of snow in my front yard.

    It's global warming BS, I tell you.

  47. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by sgltrak
    Swallow and Mason?
    Rode past that on the mason trail on my commute, nothing looked out of the ordinary besides the signal going off for no reason, but I wasn't dressed for the rain so I didn't spend too much time trying to figure it out.

  48. #48
    skillz to pay billz
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    6" overnight and still coming down

  49. #49
    TEAM TOPEAK - ERGON
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    Maybe 2 inches or so up here on the eastern side of FC. It's very wet...hope it melts on Friday and Saturday.


  50. #50
    30 something dad
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    Just started snowing again here in Gunbarrel. Given what they're predicting and that it's melting almost as fast as it's falling I think we'll be good this weekend...Saturday maybe, but Sunday should be fine. Than we get sunny/70's for like 3 straight days!

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