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  1. #1
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    Winter Storm Watch/ 12" Snow ??

    From NOAA (although on another page they say that things might not be "that" bad, or just as likely, a chance they could be "much" worse !!. This is the "Middle of the Road" forecast)


    "...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
    WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
    WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIER SNOW
    WILL THEN SHIFT OUT EASTWARD OVER THE PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
    SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY
    EVENING. UP TO 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS.

    REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A
    HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
    SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR THAT COULD IMPACT TRAVEL.
    STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS
    MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNING CONCERNING THIS
    POTENTIAL WINTER STORM."

  2. #2
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    Dang...I may have to call in a "powder day" with that kind of snow expected.

  3. #3
    i took the wheels home
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    Didn't the forecast call for rain/snow all weekend? Yeah, that never happened and in the past few weeks too many opportunities to get out have been called off by the forecast calling for bad weather and then it turning out to be really really nice. Don't it scare you but do remember that this is spring time in the Rockies.

  4. #4
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    Twin tipped skis may have the advantage at Crankwerx this year.

  5. #5
    t.i.t.s.ceo/FR amoeba rep
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    Note to self: beacon, shovel, probe
    I'm a cowboy on a steel horse i ride!

    the blog

  6. #6
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    ugh i should have gone riding today. wasted opportunity

  7. #7
    skillz to pay billz
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    squeezed out a little Heil bet/ snow storms, yeah!

    edit: that didn't sound right

  8. #8
    "Oldfart from Wayback"
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    ... and if we just ... Yup,this afternoon was PERFECT !!



    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    ugh i should have gone riding today. wasted opportunity

  9. #9
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    The models are kind of over the place regarding the tracking of the L as it moves east across the state. You can see on IR and WV the bottom lobe of the vort max rounding out the base of the trough by Las Vegas. This will gradually close off today and start moving east. The winds seem to shift early on to the northwest, which creates downslope for the Front Range and less chance of upslope. The energy per the last few model runs also seem to be moving most of the energy south of the Denver metro area (i.e., Palmer divide will likely get hammered if the flow turns more North/Northeasterly). Overall, the upslope looks pretty weak and though it'll snow, not sure how much(?)

    Hoping to ride Buff Creek on Saturday, but that may be a pipe dream

  10. #10
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    How will this effect the riding this weekend out in Frutia?

  11. #11
    post-ride specialist
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rontele
    The models are kind of over the place ...

    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis
    Since when did Need have anything to do with this?

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by icegeek
    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis
    damn straight. you want to pay my mortgage?

  13. #13
    Rides Uphill Slow
    Reputation: The Hookler's Avatar
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    I was thinking the same thing but I think the riding in Fruita should be fine. Crossing my fingers. Getting over the passes on Thursday night is going to be the interesting part.
    Sunny and in the 60's from Friday on according to NOAA.
    I'm here for the downhill

  14. #14
    Rolling
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    I knew the forecast was going to blow--at least on the east side of the foothills.. Too complex-- and to dare it, I rode in today since I think the afternoon forecast is going to miss too.
    Last edited by lidarman; 04-09-2008 at 10:00 AM.

  15. #15
    To "Air" Is Human
    Reputation: The Agency's Avatar
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    I guess it's back to indoors at Woodward...

  16. #16
    Inflexable...
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    Quote Originally Posted by icegeek
    someone needs to spend less time on computers and more on wheels/skis

    Thursday? Loveland? Or have you consumed your quota for the week?...
    Tact is for people not witty enough to be sarcastic...

  17. #17
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    Damn, I'm driving to Moab tomorrow afternoon. I sure hope we make it through the mtns with bikes intact...I'm dying to ride Porc. Rim on Friday.

  18. #18
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    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?

  19. #19
    Rolling
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    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?
    I think you have a good chance.

    Looking outside looks great yet the forecast says there should be rain. The radar looks good too.

  20. #20
    tiny rider
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    Quote Originally Posted by sooner518
    Mr Meteorology, any chance that this rain/snow will hold off long enough for me to get a ride on Green Mountain this afternoon around 4?
    My guess is that if you go to ride, you will get snowed on. If, however, you choose not to ride, the weather will hold off. I think it's called Heisenberg's Cat or something.

  21. #21
    mtbr member
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    hahaha. I think Im going to take my chances, and bring a rain jacket. I guess I can make a decision later in the day, but from those graphs, it looks like I could ride for an hour or 2 and not get completely killed. Thanks for the info.

  22. #22
    Rolling
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    Quote Originally Posted by cartographer
    My guess is that if you go to ride, you will get snowed on. If, however, you choose not to ride, the weather will hold off. I think it's called Heisenberg's Cat or something.

    I think you combined all three there.

    Murphy's Law.
    Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
    Shroedingers Cat.

    It should snow since I rode in today.

  23. #23
    tiny rider
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    On further review, I suggest:
    Heisenberg's Cat's Law -- The weather will only be bad if you actually ride.

  24. #24
    tiny rider
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    Duplicate

  25. #25
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    Sorry, I heard that Porc is closed today through next Monday

    Quote Originally Posted by swimmer52
    Damn, I'm driving to Moab tomorrow afternoon. I sure hope we make it through the mtns with bikes intact...I'm dying to ride Porc. Rim on Friday.
    There's too many bikers on it and the rocks are sinking under the weight. Maybe next year.
    A blind man searches in a dark room for a black hat that isn't there. Dashiell Hammett

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