Chew on this...

[Rontele]

THE NAM12 HAS EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS...OVER 3.00 INCHES
LIQUID FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND URBAN CORRIDOR...WITH 25 TO 50 INCHES
OF SNOW IN THAT SAME AREA. THIS ALL BY 00Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
LATE. THE GFS HAS 1.00 TO 2.00 INCHES OF LIQUID OVER THE FOOTHILLS
AND MOST OF THE PLAINS BY 00Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH UP TO 20
INCHES OF SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. THE PRECIPITATION
BULLS-EYE ON THE ECMWF IS WELL NORTH OF THE OTHER TWO MODELS.
CONCERNING SNOW OR RAIN FOR THE PLAINS...THE NAM FORECAST SOUNDING
WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS POINT TO SNOW BY 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT MIDNIGHT
FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PLAINS. THIS CONTINUES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS ON THE GFS POINT TO RAIN
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE PALMER RIDGE IS IN THE SNOW ON
BOTH MODELS. SO FOR POPS...IT`S HARD NOT TO GO WITH "LIKELY"S FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THIS STORM...COMMENCING DURING THE
AFTERNOON TUESDAY. IT`S SOMEWHAT OF A "NO-BRAINER" FOR A BIG
SNOWFALL OVER THE EASTERN SLOPE OF THE HIGH MOUNTAINS AND THE
FOOTHILLS WITH THE SNOW MODEL GIVING 1.5 TO 3.0 FEET IN THESE
AREAS. THE BIG QUESTION IS WHETHER THE URBAN CORRIDOR GETS A
HEAVY-WET-TREE/PLANT-DESTROYING SNOWFALL.

[scar]

Looks like I better put my BarMitts back on!


***

[DWF]

I'm glad I chewed on this yesterday:

[Rontele]

Got in a nice ride today, but big plans for next weekend. Oh well.

[xcguy]

All I gotta say is

[Pau11y]

Got in Chimney/Apex yesterday and Matt/Winters today before this suppose Armageddon. Good times, except the saddle-ass from first rides of the season!

[xcguy]

Wow, three inches of rain or three feet of snow.

[Rontele]

Any moisture is good, but rain is preferable at this point in the season. Two steps forward, one step back...

[Bagwhan]

sounds like wednesday morning dawn patrol may be in order?

[Rontele]

sounds like wednesday morning dawn patrol may be in order?

Too late by then. Get your riding in by Tuesday afternoon.

[Bagwhan]

different kind of dawn patrol.

[lubes17319]

I chewed off a chunk of BCLP, Mt Falcon & Cougar Canyon + the road to/fro today.....my body had a hard time masticating all that.

[xcguy]

The last snow thunderstorm we had, maybe seven weeks ago (?) I went out and walked around in it at the height. It was unbelievable. High winds, snow so thick I was choking. I went back and knocked on my neighbors door: "you gotta come out here, it's incredible". They got out their skiing gear (they're from Texas) put on their ski goggles, grabbed a bottle of wine and headed out into the storm. They disappeared in about 20 feet.

What I'm saying, except for riding dry trail, monster storms can be fun...for awhile.

[Rontele]

this thread is just attempting to jinx the storm.

[dlcrow]

Wow, three inches of rain or three feet of snow.

I've seen the forecast for up to 3 FEET of SNOW in the foothills, which could be 3 inches of water depending on the moisture content.

[jkaber]

<a href="http://s427.photobucket.com/albums/pp356/jkaber/?action=view&current=001-5.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="http://i427.photobucket.com/albums/pp356/jkaber/001-5.jpg" border="0" alt="Photobucket"></a>

[icegeek]

sounds like wednesday morning dawn patrol may be in order?

[schnauzers]

Pfffttt! White Ranch this morning. BEAUTIFUL DAY!

[SkaredShtles]

BRING IT.

[Pau11y]

BRING IT.

To do what, so you can spend the morning digging your Subi out from many feet of oatmeal? And don't even start w/ the Subi miracle wagon.

[bipolarbear]

Doesn't anyone ski anymore?

[zrm]

I think I posted a few months ago that I thought that the FR would get one more big one before the season was over. Interestingly, Spencer at the CAIC is predicting around 6" south of I-70 Mtns.

[SkaredShtles]

To do what, so you can spend the morning digging your Subi out from many feet of oatmeal? And don't even start w/ the Subi miracle wagon.

I could come pick you up since you won't be able to get out of your parking lot.

[Pau11y]

I could come pick you up since you won't be able to get out of your parking lot.

Maybe a rum run so I can make some more Minty Stormies

[edenger]

Now if we'd just get a hard freeze maybe it'd kill some of those bark beetles right before they start to fly.... or maybe not

[xcguy]

I'm kind of a weather geek and the anticipation of this coming together of cold and wet fronts gets me all tingly, ya know? So far nobody's able to predict where or what exactly will happen, but the possibilities include 2-3 feet in our foothills and significant snow in town. Or not. My biggest concern is for the trees, not our trails.

I was hiking on South Mesa this afternoon and, more than once, I said something like "we'll need snowshoes come Wednesday morning" and not one person had a clue as to what I was talking about. Weather unconscious---a simpler way of living.

[SkaredShtles]

<snip> Weather unconscious---a simpler way of living.

I dunno - not worrying about it seems a pretty decent response to the inability to accurately forecast any of this stuff.