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  1. #1
    fc
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    A special weather statement.

    Ride mtb Mon-Tues then dust off the roadie.

    If this was the first storm of the month, it would be darn good for the trails. But at this point when the trails are already soaked and perfect, this will put us over the top for the next 10 days.

    ------
    Special Weather Statement
    Statement as of 8:11 AM PST on November 25, 2012

    ... A strong Pacific storm will impact the region by Wednesday and
    last through next weekend...

    A large area of low pressure will push across the North Pacific
    by the early to middle part of this coming work week. This will
    bring a large change to the weather pattern for the area.
    Conditions will remain partly sunny... dry..and mild to start the
    week with high pressure lingering over the area.

    Rainfall will move into the area by early Wednesday morning and
    rain chances will remain high into early next weekend. While it
    remains too early to predict total rainfall amounts... the overall
    weather pattern will be favorable for widespread and significant
    rain across the region.

    In addition to the rainfall..gusty south winds will accompany the
    low pressure by Wednesday. This will produce hazardous boating
    conditions on the area waters with possible gales. Strong and
    potentially damaging winds will occur over high terrain areas as
    well.

    With several days until the storm system impacts the
    area... details will change on exact timing and intensity of the
    upcoming changes to the weather. However... residents need to be
    aware of the upcoming changes and the increased chances of high
    impacts from significant rainfall and gusty winds.

    Please continue to monitor the latest statements regarding the
    upcoming storm system and its impacts on the San Francisco Bay
    area. Later forecasts will refine the details of
    timing... intensity... and location of the greatest hazards.

    Monitor the National Weather Service on the web at
    National Weather Service - NWS San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area. Follow US on facebook at
    http://www.Facebook.Com/US.Nationalw...scobayarea.Gov
    or on twitter at NWSBayArea (NWSBayArea) on Twitter.
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails A special weather statement.-7day_kron.gif  

    Last edited by fc; 11-26-2012 at 08:07 AM.

  2. #2
    sunnyside up
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    It's TRAIL WORK season! Woot!

    Time for a pulaski party. Let's pick a date for MTBR to dig in Demo!

    Patty
    "...So forget all your duties, oh yeah! Fat bottomed girls, they'll be riding today..." Freddie Mercury

  3. #3
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    looks like my elliptical is going to get some work the next week or so....i have to catch up on watching 'damages' episodes!

  4. #4
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    I am way down for some Demo trail work. Just say when and I'll be there...
    I'm not sure how this works.

  5. #5
    tastes like chicken
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    Pogonip trail work this Sunday

    We are doing trail work at the Pogonip this Sunday:

    Next Pogonip workday Sunday December 2nd, 9am – 1pm. Lunch sponsor Caletti Cycles, coffee sponsor Verve Coffee Roasters | Mountain Bikers of Santa Cruz (MBOSC)

    These conditions should be great for digging. Still plenty of stuff to do - particularly the switchback section near the fern trail. Berms and rollers and all that.

    Free coffee, pastries, pizza and refreshing beverages for trail workers. Trail day sponsored by our good friends at Verve Coffee and Caletti Cycles.
    Last edited by mrtoadsc; 11-26-2012 at 11:27 AM.

  6. #6
    GMM
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    I've been meaning to give Sierra Road a go. Looks like that may happen this weekend, rain be damned.

  7. #7
    It's about showing up.
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    Bishops Walk at Joaquin Miler is on deck for some TLC.
    I don't rattle.

  8. #8
    PMarsh Thumbs Up!
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    Well that's one way to kill the new bike stoke!


    Quote Originally Posted by squashyo View Post
    I am way down for some Demo trail work. Just say when and I'll be there...
    word
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  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Berkeley Mike View Post
    Bishops Walk at Joaquin Miler is on deck for some TLC.
    I rode Bishops Walk yesterday and it was already worked on!

  10. #10
    It's about showing up.
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    Thanks for the report katana.

    The Bicycle Trails Council of the East Bay has several guys locally who are deeply invested in this latest work. We put in a lot of time with VoCal prior to the trailwork to make sure that the path made sense and I think it paid off nicely. The execution of the work by about 80 volunteers was major but contained certain abberations to our philosophy, not uncommon with large volunteer groups with a variety of trail goals.

    The simple fact of 2 inches of rain (finally!) after the work in June did much to bed this in. There will be a few um...adjustments... made to the early summer work to bring it into line with our vision. Stay tuned.
    I don't rattle.

  11. #11
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    Cinderella TLC

    Bishops Walk is very nice and thanks to all who made it happen. Cinderella could use some "Love".

  12. #12
    It's about showing up.
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    Cindy has seen so much "love" that she looks a bit rode-hard-put-up-wet for sure.
    I don't rattle.

  13. #13
    padded
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    Quote Originally Posted by knobbyknees View Post
    It's TRAIL WORK season! Woot!
    Time for a pulaski party. Let's pick a date for MTBR to dig in Demo!
    Patty
    In! (As long as we can make it a Saturday.)
    Is it too early to start on the Tractor re-route?
    "You are by far the most interesting single-serving friend I have ever met."

  14. #14
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    This is starting to look more like an absolute ride killer for a few weeks.

    A STRONGER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
    THE BAY AREA BY THURSDAY...BRINGING MORE INTENSE AND PROTRACTED
    RAINFALL. MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT UPWARDS OF
    10 TO 15 INCHES MAY FALL IN HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF THE NORTH BAY
    THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHILE VALLEY BOTTOMS MAY RECEIVE AROUND 5 TO 6
    INCHES.

    Time to get out the tools and rip my bike apart for the winter.

  15. #15
    mtbr member
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    Yes.

    Last call!

    TUE (maybe with lights) = Last ride.........(for a while).

  16. #16
    pro leisure tour
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    Quote Originally Posted by squashyo View Post
    I am way down for some Demo trail work. Just say when and I'll be there...
    ^^^^ That right there. Yup, I'm all in.
    If you see someone without a smile, give them yours

  17. #17
    singletrack bound
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    Thanks for the heads up....
    Tuesday late afternoon/Sunset/Night ride on tap!!!
    Get it while you still can!
    Sorrel Seeker !!

  18. #18
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    Go ride in the rain!

    <object width='500' height='281'><param name='allowFullScreen' value='true' /><param name='allowScriptAccess' value='always' /><param name='movie' value='http://www.pinkbike.com/v/236939/l/' /><embed src='http://www.pinkbike.com/v/236939/l/' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' width='500' height='281' allowFullScreen='true' allowScriptAccess='always'></embed></object><p><a href='http://www.pinkbike.com/video/236939/'>2012 Cove STD on the Shore</a> on <a href='http://www.pinkbike.com'>Pinkbike</a></p>

  19. #19
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    bike to- do projects are in effect

  20. #20
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    btw the north shore video was WOW

  21. #21
    Paper or plastic?
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    Damn, that may make for an interesting drive up to the Sierra Friday night.
    Faster is not always better, but it's always more fun

  22. #22
    Uncle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Haus Boss View Post
    Go ride in the rain! <insert sick video here>
    Awai and I came down Eldridge in similar conditions last year. Kind of sketchy across the wet rocks, but whole lots of fun for sure. Certainly doesn't compare to the gorgeous video, but the sense of riding down a stream was certainly there. Beautiful conditions for a ride.
    Great prices - some sweet vintage stuff: http://classifieds.mtbr.com/showprod...product=101010

  23. #23
    NedwannaB
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    Cool vid

    Quote Originally Posted by Haus Boss View Post
    Go ride in the rain!

    <object width='500' height='281'><param name='allowFullScreen' value='true' /><param name='allowScriptAccess' value='always' /><param name='movie' value='http://www.pinkbike.com/v/236939/l/' /><embed src='http://www.pinkbike.com/v/236939/l/' type='application/x-shockwave-flash' width='500' height='281' allowFullScreen='true' allowScriptAccess='always'></embed></object><p><a href='http://www.pinkbike.com/video/236939/'>2012 Cove STD on the Shore</a> on <a href='http://www.pinkbike.com'>Pinkbike</a></p>
    Thanks for posting Haus
    Wait whuuut, who did he tell you that!?!?....

  24. #24
    grinder
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  25. #25
    Paper or plastic?
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    Got my ride in for this week this morning!
    Faster is not always better, but it's always more fun

  26. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by zorg View Post
    Damn, that may make for an interesting drive up to the Sierra Friday night.
    Guessing snow might not be an issue Friday as the snow levels may be above the pass. The resorts are probably not gonna be much fun with rain down low and possible wind closures. Early in the week may be the good call for skiing if that's your plan.
    Go get that KOM "You Deserve" - http://www.digitalepo.com/index.php

  27. #27
    Paper or plastic?
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    Quote Originally Posted by TahoeBC View Post
    Guessing snow might not be an issue Friday as the snow levels may be above the pass. The resorts are probably not gonna be much fun with rain down low and possible wind closures. Early in the week may be the good call for skiing if that's your plan.
    I was hoping to take the kiddies sledding, but it's not looking promising. Might be a quick out and back.
    Faster is not always better, but it's always more fun

  28. #28
    fc
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    shitty for biking and skiing. good for wrenchin and drinkin.

  29. #29
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    Better watch that potty mouth Francois or you might get banned!
    Go get that KOM "You Deserve" - http://www.digitalepo.com/index.php

  30. #30
    jrm
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    I suspect there'll be breaks

    between fronts large enough to get some kinda ride in.

  31. #31
    mtbr member
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    Winter is coming.

    Looks Stark!!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails A special weather statement.-screen-shot-2012-11-27-3.23.48-pm.png  

    Attached Images Attached Images   

  32. #32
    NedwannaB
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    Ditto

    Quote Originally Posted by zorg View Post
    Got my ride in for this week this morning!
    Well lunch time anyway. Skyline may be unrideable for a week, or more. Had to get it before the monsoon hits!
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails A special weather statement.-skyline-tues.jpg  

    Wait whuuut, who did he tell you that!?!?....

  33. #33
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    a high wind warning has been issued for the n bay coast...San Francisco and
    the San Francisco peninsula coast with wind gusts 55 to 65 mph

    the latest qpf forecast n of the cwa puts 24 hour totals ending friday at 2-5 inches with a few
    jackpots of 7-6 inches

    and up to 15" by next week
    Warning: Consumption of alcohol may make you think the person on the barstool next to you is attractive

  34. #34
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    Came home an hour early and <strike>found wife with another man</strike> squeezed in last ride before the rain - along Stevens Creek to the trailhead of St. Joe's and back. It gets dark quickly.

  35. #35
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    Demo was empty except for the CDF guy on the ATV and the huge road grader working on Sulphur. First time up Sulphur no one there, second time it was half graded (and I passed the grader while he was stopped), by the third time up they were on the way down with the CDF guy videoing the grading.

    4 other vehicles in the parking lot when I left around 1, saw more folks driving in for a last afternoon of riding before the soaker!

    The CDF guy said he was going to work on a downed tree on Ridge above the helipad, but I told him there wasn't one. I forgot about the one that's been down for a long time at the top of that short steep hill - anyone in the afternoon notice if that had been worked on?

  36. #36
    Axe
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    Took my daughter from school early and went with her for a ride to Arastradero preserve. I guess it will be closed for the season tomorrow.

  37. #37
    fc
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    Red skies tonight
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Thumbnails A special weather statement.-pb270029.jpg  

    A special weather statement.-pb270010.jpg  

    A special weather statement.-pb270030.jpg  


  38. #38
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    Ugh... Pouring down in South SJ... good for the plants, not so good for riding...

  39. #39
    fc
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    The atmospheric river is here.

  40. #40
    PMarsh Thumbs Up!
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    Red skies at night, sailors delight.
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  41. #41
    Like a boss.
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    Tons of rain and debris flying everywhere in Fairfax. I'm kinda loving it. Rode last night and got in some truly hero dirt; it was like velcro. I'm just bummed that all the trail work projects that were supposed to happen this weekend (China Camp, T-rancho, Pogonip) will probably be canceled.
    Quote Originally Posted by jbt56
    Are you a whiny Marin liberal, or a hand-wringing Berkeley liberal?

  42. #42
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    Quote Originally Posted by sjhiker View Post
    Ugh... Pouring down in South SJ... good for the plants, not so good for riding...
    If the wind dies down, I'm taking the 'cross bike out. I'd like to work on some of the trails in STCP, like berm a couple turns for safety (there are two I can think of), but some riders don't like it.

  43. #43
    fc
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    It looks like there will be no rain today in the south bay to sf area. It stopped raining by noon yesterday too. It rained about a half inch yesterday morning.

    Sooooo, I would say it would be ok to ride today on trails that drain well. I'd say hit the trail around noon and you'll be fine.

    fc

  44. #44
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    in lafayette we hardly got anything out of storm 1...only .26 inches of rain according to noaa (i love that website!). maybe we'll get hammered by the other storms but so far not much to talk about. the real bummer is that these are 'warm' storms so no real snow up in the sierra either, except very heavy stuff all the way at the top.

  45. #45
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    Just found this site
    Northern California Weather Blog

    Looks to be good for Mendo/Shasta/Lassen areas.
    Only got 1.5 inches of water in Angwin yesterday.
    Should be lots more coming this afternoon/tonight.


    Snow levels still a little too high for the southern mountains of the Coast Range.
    Only the Yolla Bolly's have snow right now.
    National Snow Analyses 3D Interface - NOHRSC - The ultimate source for snow information

    Too bad the gate is closed to SYB. It's gonna take some colder storms
    to blanket Hull and Snow Mt. with the white stuff.

    I like this site
    Intellicast - Weather Active Map
    for showing where the precip is snow.
    Check out the winds just off shore (play with the layer button).

  46. #46
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    Quote Originally Posted by francois View Post
    It looks like there will be no rain today in the south bay to sf area. It stopped raining by noon yesterday too. It rained about a half inch yesterday morning.

    Sooooo, I would say it would be ok to ride today on trails that drain well. I'd say hit the trail around noon and you'll be fine.

    fc
    The river has resumed here in Santa Cruz. Drip drop.

  47. #47
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    Granite Bay was nice this am lots of puddles but very doable. Anyone know how well Auburn will hold up, I am hoping on doing it this weekend.

  48. #48
    fc
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    Quote Originally Posted by Carl Hungus View Post
    The river has resumed here in Santa Cruz. Drip drop.
    That's just your roof leaking the water it collected yesterday.

  49. #49
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrtoadsc View Post
    We are doing trail work at the Pogonip this Sunday:

    Next Pogonip workday Sunday December 2nd, 9am – 1pm. Lunch sponsor Caletti Cycles, coffee sponsor Verve Coffee Roasters | Mountain Bikers of Santa Cruz (MBOSC)

    These conditions should be great for digging. Still plenty of stuff to do - particularly the switchback section near the fern trail. Berms and rollers and all that.

    Free coffee, pastries, pizza and refreshing beverages for trail workers. Trail day sponsored by our good friends at Verve Coffee and Caletti Cycles.
    I was just about to sign up for this and it looks like plans have changed. Has it been put off for a week? This page didn't have a 12/2 work day. Trailworkers

  50. #50
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    welcome the pineapple express, dont mind the rain at all , just wish the temps would be lower , this was a great opportunity for a major snowfall but the snow level is way too high in the sierra's.... looks like its a spin class at 7am for me

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